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Lloyd Doggett

Democrat

House

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vs. S&P 500 (90D)

-15.12%

Trades (90 Days)

Total Trades

Win Rate (90D)

0.0%

Monthly summary

What to know this month

Key takeaways from Lloyd Doggett's recent stock disclosures, written in plain English.

Updated May 27, 2026 · 0 trades in the last 30 days

Doggett's KO and HD Buys Are Stale, Small, and Underwater — Zero Actionable Edge Here

Lloyd Doggett's two most recent STOCK Act disclosures — KO purchased April 1 and HD purchased March 26 — both fall outside the 30-day analysis window, carry minimal dollar conviction ($1K–$15K range), and have generated significantly negative excess returns vs SPY (-8.81% and -21.43% respectively). There is no in-window activity, no committee-linked catalyst, and no clustering signal to trade against. This brief serves as an explicit no-signal warning: capital should not be deployed on the basis of these disclosures.

Stocks to watch

Watch

Low confidence

Purchased April 1, filed May 6 with a 35-day disclosure lag. Position size is retail-grade ($1,001–$15,000), and the trade is already -8.81% vs SPY. No committee context supports an information edge. Doggett sits on Ways and Means, which has some relevance to tax and trade policy, but there is zero legislative catalyst tied to this purchase in the record. Watch only for any future clustering or size escalation.

Why it matters: Flow-led — no supported legislative or regulatory catalyst

How to think about it: Do not initiate. If monitoring defensives for macro rotation, size KO as a tail hedge only — no more than 0.25% NAV — and only if fresh insider or institutional flow confirms the thesis independently.

Watch

Low confidence

Purchased March 26, filed April 6 with an 11-day lag — faster disclosure, but still outside the 30-day window. Size remains minimal ($1,001–$15,000) and excess return vs SPY is deeply negative at -21.43%. Home improvement retail is under pressure from tariff pass-through risk on imported goods and softening housing turnover. No legislative signal from Doggett's committee assignments supports a variant view here.

Why it matters: Flow-led — housing/tariff macro headwinds are a counter-signal

How to think about it: Do not initiate on this signal. HD can be tracked as a housing-cycle barometer, but sizing should be driven by macro data (existing home sales, mortgage rates) — not this disclosure.

Sector focus

Both trades are tagged Sector: ST (Staples/Consumer), but the sample size of two stale, small-dollar purchases in KO and HD provides no statistically meaningful sector rotation signal. Consumer Staples (XLP) and Home Improvement (XHB) should be evaluated on independent macro and earnings catalysts — not Doggett flow.

Timing

The KO trade carried a 35-day disclosure lag, which is at the outer edge of the STOCK Act 45-day window and materially compresses any remaining price discovery advantage. The HD trade lagged 11 days, which is tighter, but the -21.43% excess return confirms the market had already moved. Both signals are expired. The only timing edge here is negative: knowing this flow is exhausted prevents a follower from chasing stale, underwater names.

Things to watch out for

Thesis invalidation is immediate and already realized — both positions are underwater vs SPY, no new trades have been filed in 30+ days, and position sizes suggest personal portfolio management rather than informed conviction. Key risks if one were to follow: (1) Staleness — 35-day lag on KO means price action has fully digested any information content; (2) Size — sub-$15K positions carry no predictive weight at institutional scale; (3) No committee edge — without a clear Ways and Means legislative catalyst, there is no asymmetric information framework to anchor a thesis; (4) Macro headwinds for HD specifically are significant and directionally opposed to the purchase signal.

What this means for you

Step one: do not deploy capital on Doggett's current disclosed activity — the signal is stale, small, and negative on excess return. Step two: set a disclosure alert for any new Doggett filings, specifically watching for (a) position sizes above $50K, (b) clustering of 3+ trades in the same sector within 10 days, or (c) options activity, which would indicate a higher-conviction, time-sensitive view. Step three: if fresh activity emerges in Consumer Staples names, cross-reference with Ways and Means committee markup calendars for any tax treatment or trade policy changes that could benefit defensive consumer names. Step four: use XLP as a low-cost sector expression vehicle rather than single names until a high-conviction cluster forms. Step five: maintain a 30-day lookback discipline — any signal older than 30 days from trade date should be treated as expired unless corroborated by independent fundamental or technical confirmation.

This summary is based on public filings from Lloyd Doggett. It is for research and education only — not personalized investment advice.

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Trade History

Every reported transaction with plain-English summaries, live prices, and linked SEC filings when available.

Purchase

35 days to disclose

KO · ST

$1,001 - $15,000

Trade date

Apr 1, 2026

Filed

May 6, 2026

Price

…

Day change

…

vs. SPY

-8.81%

Plain English

Lloyd Doggett bought $1,001 - $15,000 of KO (KO) on Apr 1, 2026. Disclosed May 6, 2026.

3May 8, 2026 4May 11, 2026 10-QApr 30, 2026+5 more

Purchase

11 days to disclose

HD · ST

$1,001 - $15,000

Trade date

Mar 26, 2026

Filed

Apr 6, 2026

Price

…

Day change

…

vs. SPY

-21.43%

Plain English

Lloyd Doggett bought $1,001 - $15,000 of HD (HD) on Mar 26, 2026. Disclosed Apr 6, 2026.